US Stocks in Jeopardy Again?
Not willing to accept defeat, not feeling satisfied, and not happy at all!
The global stock market plunged on Black Monday, with the US stock futures of Nasdaq falling as much as 6.29%, and the Japanese stock market directly triggered a circuit breaker.
On Tuesday morning, the Japanese stock market surged, and it also led the Nasdaq futures, which also rose by more than 2% in the early morning.
However, the A-shares are still not satisfactory, but fortunately, the whole A-shares market rose by 1.8% on Tuesday, which means most companies actually went up.
However, the index is really poor, and it is indeed very unpleasant to suppress everyone.
Let's discuss three topics: the first one is whether the risk of US stocks is high tonight?
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The second one is to talk about whether A-shares can hold on?
The third one is to talk about operational precautions.
The US stocks have now narrowed the rise significantly, because this wave of the main decline is Nasdaq, which once rose by more than 2% between 9 and 10 o'clock Beijing time, and is now about 0.95%, as shown in the figure below.
Due to the very long lower shadow line of US stocks on Monday night, it is normal to rise in the morning and fall in the afternoon.
However, considering the global stock market, especially the US stock market, there have been more than two consecutive large gaps, so I personally think the bearish power tends to be exhausted.
However, the rebound after the oversold is difficult to take the main rise wave, and after the oversold, it is more likely to be flat, or even more fierce selling.
Therefore, I personally think that US stocks are fine, but I think it is still difficult to expect it to rise sharply and drive the repair of the mood of A-shares tomorrow.
Fortunately, during the day, our A-shares have already digested in advance, but at the end of the day, a certain team took a shuttle, so the market still needs to digest this shuttle up after opening for half an hour on Wednesday morning.
The second one is whether A-shares can hold on?
As mentioned earlier, it is very likely that A-shares will still be in disagreement on Wednesday, and it is difficult to make choices.
I don't want to do it in one go now, but fortunately, the export data of last month will be released on Thursday, and the data expected by the market is not too bad, so it can be expected that the market will not be so pessimistic in the afternoon on Wednesday.
Can A-shares hold on?
If you want to ask whether A-shares can rise sharply, I think it is still difficult, but the probability of holding on is quite high, because the weight has already made up for the fall on Tuesday.
The third one is operational precautions.
The market is weak, and there are two methods in the weak market, the first one is to form a group, and the second one is to switch to a low position.
At present, it seems that the stocks that form a group have begun to disintegrate, and high standards must be paid attention to, especially the old high standards before, such as the chips of ride-hailing cars, which have obviously begun to disperse.
In addition to the new low positions that have been excavated, it may be difficult, and according to my observation, the direction of this wave seems to be average.
Medicine and education seem to be good, but the elasticity may not be as large as everyone thinks, and it may be safer to do the oversold.
In short, the US stocks may not be as good as everyone thinks.
After our A-shares closed during the day on Tuesday, there was a sharp drop at the end of the day, and the results should be seen at night, which is inclined to the rebound after the oversold, and the overall situation is still controllable.
A-shares are currently seen to be difficult to rise sharply, but there is hope to stabilize.
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